Daily outlook – 11th January 2011 (00:30GMT)

January 11, 2011

Currency Updates:

U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) stocks fell back mildly and the Dollar lost ground in quiet trade as commodities rebounded. Earning Season has begun in the US with nightly focus on earnings report set to move the stock markets and currencies. In US stocks, DJIA -37 points closing at 11637, S&amp P -1 points closing at 1271 and NASDAQ +4 points closing at 2707. Looking ahead, November Wholesale Inventories are forecast at 1 vs. 1.9 previously.

The Euro (EUR) French and German officials deny they are putting pressure on Portugal to accept a bailout package but bond yields are still remaining high and the market is continuing to be supported by the ECB. January Sentix improved to 10.6 vs. 9.7 previously. EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.2873 and a high of 1.2968 before closing at 1.2930. Looking ahead, ECB President Trichet Speaks.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) was slightly lower under Y83 but the market is undecided on future direction with US Bond Yields the major catalyst for recent moves and risk on or off moving the Yen crosses. Overall the USDJPY traded with a low of 82.65 and a high of 83.30 before closing the day around 82.85 in the New York session.

The Sterling (GBP) tested support at 1.5500 and then resistance at 1.5600 as range trading continued. UK Halifax House Prices fell -1.3% in December and continues a string of recent bad data. Inflation in 2011 will be key for GBP strength or weakness. Overall the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5473 and a high of 1.5606 before closing the day at 1.5585 in the New York session.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) tested below 0.9900 with the market struggling to maintain strength and starting to be sold on rallies. Devastating floods are undermining sentiment towards the risk currency although stock market movements should continue to be the major cause of movements going forward. Overall the AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.9881 and a high of 0.9985 before closing the US session at 0.9940.

Oil &amp Gold (XAU) was very contained orbiting around the $1370 level. Overall trading with a low of USD$1364 and high of USD $1376 before ending the New York session at USD$1375 an ounce. Crude Oil found strength on news that an Alaskan pipeline was shutdown. WTI Oil Closed +$1.00 at $89.40 a barrel.

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