Daily outlook – 13th May 2011 (00:30GMT)

May 13, 2011

Currency Updates:

U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) the USD hit month highs on slumping Oil and pullbacks in most majors. Weekly Jobless Claims were at 434k vs. 474k previously. April US retail Sales increased to 0.5% vs. 0.4% previously m/m. In US stocks, DJIA +65 points closing at 12695, S&amp P +6 points closing at 1348 and NASDAQ +17 points closing at 2863. Looking ahead, May UoM Sentiment forecast at 70 vs. 69.8. April CPI forecast at 0.2% vs. 0.1% previously.

The Euro (EUR) the Euro slumped in Europe to fresh month lows just above 1.4100. March EU Industrial production forecast at -0.2% vs. 0.4% previously. Overall the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4128 and a high of 1.4278 before closing the day around 1.4245 in the New York session. Looking ahead, Q1 GDP forecast at 0.6% vs. 0.3% previously.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) was very calm against the USD pivoting the Y81 level as Dollar strength competed against weakness in the Yen crosses. EUR/JPY hit new lows under Y115 but was able to bounce and close just above the key level. Overall the USD/JPY traded with a low of 80.69 and a high of 81.31 before closing the day around 80.95 in the New York session.

The Sterling (GBP) was weak as UK economic data continued to disappoint which is fuelling concerns about the economic recovery. Cable broke below 1.6300 and EUR/GBP edge up to 0.8750. Overall the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6230 and a high of 1.6380 before closing the day at 1.6275 in the New York session.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) was crushed lower on surprisingly weak April jobs data at -22.1k vs. 17.6k previously. The Unemployment Rate stayed at 4.9% but the market broke below 1.0600 in Asia and then day lows in Europe before bouncing and testing 1.0700 in the US session. Overall the AUD/USD traded with a low of 1.0565 and a high of 1.0699 before closing the day at 1.0670 in the New York session.

Oil &amp Gold (XAU) dipped below $1500 but found support and closed at opening levels. Overall trading with a low of USD$1478 and high of USD $1507 before ending the New York session at USD$1503 an ounce. Volatility continued with support at $95 found before rallying briefly above $100 in the US session. WTI Oil Closed +$078 at $98.97 a barrel.

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