Morning Dealing Room Technical Report

May 28, 2014

Currency Updates:

Forex pair of the day

AUD/USD – above a strong support

The pair faced a pull back on its support and is posting a rebound. Further advance is likely as the 200-day moving average behaves as a support and the daily RSI is reversing up above its oversold area. Then, as long as 0.9120 holds as a support (previous resistance which now acts as a support), next up targets are set at 0.9540 (horizontal resistance) and 0.9760 in extension (October 2013 top). A third target is set at 0.9970 (horizontal resistance). Only a break below 0.9120 will turn the outlook to bearish with a first alternative target is set at 0.89 (horizontal support), and 0.8650 in extension (January bottom).

Market Comment

Australia

The S&P/ASX 200 index was flat on Tuesday. The index is above its 20d MA (@ 5470) and above its 50d MA (@ 5431). 65% of the index constituents are above their 20D MA (vs 58% the previous session) and 59% of the shares are above their 50D MA (vs 54%).

Australian consumer confidence fell a further 1.1% in the week ending May 25, according to the ANZ Bank.

Foreign Exchange

US Dollar was firm against most of its major counterparts on Tuesday. On the US economic data front, durables good orders rose 0.8% MoM (-0.7% expected) in April after an upwardly revised 3.6% gain the previous month. FHFA House Price index increased 0.7% MoM (+0.5% expected) in March while the Conference Board consumer confidence index jumped to 83.0 as expected in May from 81.7 the previous month. Finally, Richmond Fed manufacturing index was unchanged at 7 (8 expected) in May while Dallas Fed manufacturing activity dropped to 8.0 (9.5 expected) from 11.7 the prior month.

The Australian Dollar pared most of its earlier gains against its major counterparts.

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