Easy-Forex Daily Outlook

June 2, 2014

Currency Updates:

Forex pair of the day

GBP/USD – within a bullish channel

The pair has validated a bullish flag and is facing a pull back on the lower boundary of a MT bullish channel. Moreover, the moving averages remain well directed. Therefore, as long as 1.6450 holds as a support (previous overlap), further advance is likely with 1.7040 at first (August 2009 top and strong overlap) and 1.74 in extension (horizontal resistance and overlap). A third target is set at 1.79 (horizontal resistance). Only a break below 1.6450 will turn the outlook to bearish. In this case, a first alternative target is set at 1.62 and a second one at 1.5870 (November 2013 bottom).

Intraday Technical Strategy

AUD/USD Intraday: bullish bias above 0.9265.

Pivot

0.9265

Our preference

Long positions above 0.9265 with targets @ 0.933 & 0.934 in extension.

Alternative scenario

Below 0.9265 look for further downside with 0.924 & 0.9205 as targets.

Comment

The RSI is mixed.

Market Comment

Australia

The S&P/ASX 200 index dropped 0.49% or 26.927pts to 5492.55 (day range: 5525.1 – 5492.5) on Friday. The index is above its 20d MA (@ 5477) and above its 50d MA (@ 5442). 56% of the index constituents are above their 20D MA (vs 67% the previous session) and 58% of the shares are above their 50D MA (vs 60%).

Australia private sector credit rose 0.5% MoM in April vs +0.4% in Marcvh, according to the Reserve Bank of Australia.

Economic Releases

AU 01:30: May AiG Perf of Mfg Idx
AU 02:00: May RPData/Rismark House Px MoM
AU 02:30: May TD Securities Inflation MoM
AU 03:30: 1Q Company Operating Profit QoQ, exp.: 2.5%
AU 03:30: 1Q Inventories SA QoQ, exp.: -0.4%
AU 03:30: Apr Building Approvals MoM, exp.: 2%
AU 08:30: May Commodity Idx AUD

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