Morning Dealing Room Technical Report

July 22, 2015

 

Market Comment

Australia

The S&P/ASX 200 index was up 0.35% or 19.824pts to 5706.72 (day range: 5718.9 – 5686.8) on Tuesday. The index is above its 20d MA (@ 5565) and above its 50d MA (@ 5603). 73% of the index constituents are above their 20D MA (vs 65% the previous session) and 51% of the shares are above their 50D MA (vs 47%). Trading volume on the index was low, 34.5% below the 3 months average.

Australia: The ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Index rose to 111.8 in the week ended July 19 from 107.0 a week earlier.

Foreign Exchange
The US dollar was under pressure against its U.S. counterparts on Tuesday. There was no major economic data reported in the U.S.

The Euro was higher against its major pairs. There was no major economic data reported in Europe on Tuesday.

The Australian dollar was Mixed against its major Pairs.

Last %1D %YTD
EUR/USD 1,0940 1.06 -9.57
GBP/USD 1,5556 -0.05 -0.13
USD/JPY 123,94 -0.26 3.56
EUR/CHF 1,0484 0.41 -12.73
EUR/JPY 135,5900 0.79 -6.27
EUR/GBP 0,7033 1.13 -9.45
AUD/NZD 1,1195 -0.25 6.83
AUD/JPY 91,9930 0.41 -5.90
EUR/AUD 1,4739 0.35 -0.47
USD/CAD 1,2947 -0.38 11.41
USD/CHF 0,9583 -0.66 -3.62
AUD/USD 0,7422 0.68 -9.21
NZD/USD 0,6629 0.96 -14.98

Currency Updates:

 

Medium Term Strategy: Forex Pair of the day

USD/RUB – the upside prevails

The 20-day moving average crossed upward both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. In addition, the daily RSI is supported by a rising trend line. Therefore, as long as 52.30 holds as a support (horizontal support and overlap), a continuation of the rebound is likely with 58.70 as a first target (horizontal resistance and overlap) and 64 in extension (horizontal resistance and overlap). A third target is set at 71.80 (January top). Alternatively, a break below 52.3 would call for another test of the 48.5 strong support base. A break below this threshold would lead to a drop towards the next support at 41.

usd -1

 

Intraday Technical Strategy

AUD/USD Intraday: rebound.

aud -1

 

Pivot 0.7355
Our preference Long positions above 0.7355 with targets @ 0.7455 & 0.7475 in extension.
Alternative scenario Below 0.7355 look for further downside with 0.7325 & 0.73 as targets.
Comment The RSI is mixed to bullish.
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