The Federal Reserve Bank, last night decided against a September rate hike and kept its funds rate unchanged at 0.25%. However, a rate hike this year was not completely ruled out.
“The outlook abroard appears to have become less certain,” Yellen told a news conference following the announcement.
Despite the the U.S labor market showing strong growth, concerns remain over inflation and the global economy.
The initial reaction when confirmation that the rate remained unchanged, saw U.S stocks shoot up to their highest level in almost one month. However, once the press conference got under way, they soon retraced back to previous levels.
Today in Asia, markets remain mixed as investors try to digest what all this means and what is next.
Gold was the biggest winner as the subsequent uncertainty saw it climb to 1134.77, its highest level in two weeks.
Today, there are no major news announcements data wise, so it will be interesting to see how markets react and where we go next.
Trading quote of the day: “No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than successful speculation.” – Robert Rhea
USDJPY
Pivot: 120.25
Likely scenario: Short positions below 120.25 with targets @ 119.45 & 119.15 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 120.25 look for further upside with 120.75 & 121 as targets.
Comment: As long as the resistance at 120.25 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 119.45 remains high.
USDCAD
Pivot: 1.32
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.32 with targets @ 1.3125 & 1.31 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.32 look for further upside with 1.323 & 1.325 as targets.
Comment: As long as 1.32 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
USDCHF
Pivot: 0.966
Likely scenario: Short positions below 0.966 with targets @ 0.958 & 0.9545 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.966 look for further upside with 0.972 & 0.976 as targets.
Comment: A break below 0.958 would trigger a drop towards 0.9545.
GOLD
Pivot: 1123
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1123 with targets @ 1136.5 & 1140 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1123 look for further downside with 1119 & 1115 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish.
OIL
Pivot: 47.6
Likely scenario: Short positions below 47.6 with targets @ 45.9 & 45.1 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 47.6 look for further upside with 48.4 & 48.8 as targets.
Comment: The RSI broke below a rising trend line.
DAX
Pivot: 10170
Likely scenaio: Long positions above 10170 with targets @ 10340 & 10435 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 10170 look for further downside with 10065 & 9950 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
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