Morning Dealing Room Technical Report

October 5, 2015

Market Comment

Australia

The S&P/ASX 200 index dropped 1.18% or 60.124pts to 5052.02 (day range: 5119.2 – 5042.8) on Friday. The index is below its 20d MA (@ 5078) and below its 50d MA (@ 5256). 55% of the index constituents are above their 20D MA (vs 60% the previous session) and 37% of the shares are above their 50D MA (vs 38%).

Australia’s new home sales roe 2.3% MoM in August vs -1.8% in July, according to the Housing Industry Association.

Australia’s retail sales rose 0.4% MoM in August vs -0.1% in July, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

Foreign Exchange

The US dollar was under pressure against its major counterparts on Friday with the exception of the AUD. On the economic data front, The US unemployment rate was steady at 5.1% for September. US Nonfarm Payrolls declined to 142K below the 201K estimate for September. August Nonfarm payrolls were revised lower to 136K from 173K previously reported. US factory orders slowed as inventory draw down continued. Orders fell 1.7% in August from a revised 0.2% increase in July.

The Euro was mixed against its major pairs. In Europe, PPI Index fell 0.8% in August after being down 0.2% in July (revised from -0.1%). Economists anticipated a 0.6% decline. UK PMI construction index was up to 59.9 in September from 57.3 a month earlier. Consensus expected 57.5.

The Australian dollar was under pressure against all of its major pairs.

Last %1D %YTD
EUR/USD 1,1218 0.21 -7.27
GBP/USD 1,5174 0.28 -2.59
USD/JPY 119,97 0.04 0.24
EUR/CHF 1,0900 -0.37 -9.28
EUR/JPY 134,5800 0.26 -6.97
EUR/GBP 0,7394 -0.07 -4.79
AUD/NZD 1,0946 -0.36 4.44
AUD/JPY 84,5800 0.30 -13.48
EUR/AUD 1,5911 -0.06 7.45
USD/CAD 1,3170 -0.76 13.31
USD/CHF 0,9716 -0.58 -2.29
AUD/USD 0,7050 0.28 -13.76
NZD/USD 0,6442 0.67 -17.38

Currency Updates:

Medium Term Strategy: Forex Pair of the day

EUR/GBP – the upside prevails
The pair has broken above a falling wedge upper boundary and remains supported by he 50-days moving average. Moreover, the daily RSI is well directed above its neutrality area. Then, as long as 0.7110 holds as a support, further advance is likely with the previous overlap at 0.76 as a first target. A break above this threshold would call for further bounce towards the strong horizontal resistance at 0.7740 and towards January top at 0.7875 in extension. Only a break below 0.7110 would call for a trend reversal with a first alternative target set at July 17 bottom at 0.6930 and a second one set at 0.6815.

Intraday Technical Strategy

AUD/USD Intraday: under pressure.
Pivot 0.7055
Our preference Short positions below 0.7055 with targets @ 0.6995 & 0.6975 in extension.
Alternative scenario Above 0.7055 look for further upside with 0.7085 & 0.7115 as targets.
Comment The RSI is mixed to bearish.

The information contained in this publication is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. Any opinion offered herein reflects TRADING CENTRAL current judgment and may change without notice. Users acknowledge and agree to the fact that, by its very nature, any investment in shares, stock options and similar and assimilated products is characterised by a certain degree of uncertainty and that, consequently, any investment of this nature involves risks for which the user is solely responsible and liable. 

Easy Forex Pty Ltd (AFSL 246566 ABN 73107184510) makes no recommendations as to the merits of any financial product referred to in this website, emails or its related websites and the information contained does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation and needs. Easy-Forex recommends that you read the Regulation Page, The Product Disclosure Statement, the Terms and Conditions and the Financial Services Guide before making any decision concerning Easy-Forex’s products.

 

Back to daily Archive

join THOUSANDS OF other people
who trade with easymarkets

Two minutes is all it takes.

You're almost there!

Finish your application and start trading today.

DON'T MISS A TRADING OPPORTUNITY

Two minutes is all it takes.