Morning Dealing Room Technical Report

November 5, 2015

Market Comment

Australia

The S&P/ASX 200 index was flat on Wednesday. The index is below its 20d MA (@ 5259) and above its 50d MA (@ 5164). 69% of the index constituents are above their 20D MA (vs 70% the previous session) and 76% of the shares are above their 50D MA (vs 76%). Trading volume on the index was low, 33.6% below the 3 months average.

The Australian Industry Group Australian Performance of Services Index (Australian PSI) dropped 3.3 points MoM to 48.9. Key findings included: “Growth in new orders paused after four months of expansion (down 2.8 points to 48.9); (…) The communications sub-sector, in negative territory since December 2011, contracted again (up 5.9 points to 41.8), if at a slower pace. (…) The retail trade sub-sector was stable after seven months of expansion (down 5.6 points to 49.9). Wholesale trade (down 1.1 points to 44.2) contracted for a third month after July’s brief expansion.”

Foreign Exchange

The US dollar pushed higher against all of its major counterparts on Wednesday. On the economic data front, MBA U.S. Mortgage applications fell 0.8% last week from a drop of 3.5% the week before. ADP said companies in the U.S. added 182K workers in October, lower than the 190K increase in Sept. The U.S. trade gap shrank in September to a 7 month low at $40.8B from a revised $48B in August. Markit US composite PMI increased to 55 in Oct from 54.5 in Sept. U.S. Services PMI reported 54.8 in Sept from 54.4 prior. Finally, U.S. Non-Manufacturing ISM rebounded to 59.1 in Oct from 56.9 in September.

The Euro was lower against most of its major pairs except for the NZD. In Europe, The euro zone PMI composite index was 53.9 in October in final estimation from 53.6 a month earlier and 54 expected. UK PMI composite index increased to 55.4 in October from 53.3 a month ago.

The Australian dollar was mixed against all its major pairs.

Last %1D %YTD
EUR/USD 1,0860 -0.95 -10.23
GBP/USD 1,5384 -0.24 -1.24
USD/JPY 121,55 0.40 1.56
EUR/CHF 1,0789 -0.69 -10.20
EUR/JPY 132,0000 -0.56 -8.76
EUR/GBP 0,7059 -0.72 -9.11
AUD/NZD 1,0850 0.63 3.54
AUD/JPY 86,9500 -0.06 -11.06
EUR/AUD 1,5181 -0.50 2.52
USD/CAD 1,3158 0.75 13.22
USD/CHF 0,9935 0.27 -0.08
AUD/USD 0,7153 -0.46 -12.50
NZD/USD 0,6592 -1.08 -15.45

Currency Updates:

Medium Term Strategy: Forex Pair of the day

USD/CAD – rebound

The pair has rebounded above the strong horizontal support and overlap at 1.28. Moreover, the daily RSI has rebounded above its oversold area. Further advance is therefore likely with a first target set at 1.3450 (horizontal resistance and September top). A break above this threshold would open the way to further bounce towards 1.40 (May 2004 top). A third target is set at the previous overlap from january 2000 at 1.4320. Only a break below the strong horizontal support at 1.28 would turn the outlook to bearish with a first alternative target set at 1.2560 and a second one set at the horizontal support at 1.24.

Intraday Technical Strategy

AUD/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.

Pivot 0.7200
Our preference Short positions below 0.72 with targets @ 0.712 & 0.709 in extension.
Alternative scenario Above 0.72 look for further upside with 0.7225 & 0.726 as targets.
Comment Even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

 

Important note: These technical and research reports are provided to easy-forex® as a subscriber of third party providers. They are provided for informative purposes only and in no way can they be considered as a recommendation by easy-forex® to you to engage in any trade. Hence, easy-forex® shall not be held responsible for any outcome of trading decisions, in regards with these reports or similar reports. You hereby acknowledge that using the information entailed in these reports is at your sole responsibility and you will have no claims with regards to these reports against easy-forex®. If you do not agree to this, you are strongly advised not to use these reports.

Easy Forex Pty Ltd (AFSL 246566 ABN 73107184510) makes no recommendations as to the merits of any financial product referred to in this website, emails or its related websites and the information contained does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation and needs. Easy-Forex recommends that you read the Regulation Page, The Product Disclosure Statement, the Terms and Conditions and the Financial Services Guide before making any decision concerning Easy-Forex’s products.

 

Back to daily Archive

join THOUSANDS OF other people
who trade with easymarkets

Two minutes is all it takes.

You're almost there!

Finish your application and start trading today.

DON'T MISS A TRADING OPPORTUNITY

Two minutes is all it takes.