Daily Outlook

July 28, 2016

The FOMC statement opened the door to a 2nd half 2016 interest rate hike at its meeting today but the USD has failed to hold onto gains and has staged a dramatic reversal lower so far in the Thursday Asian session.

 

Led by the EUR/USD and GBP/USD, the market has rallied against the USD and the AUD/USD is no exception back above 0.7500 to highs of 0.7525.

 

US 10yr Yields have fallen back to 1.50% and this could indicate growing disbelief that the US FED will be returning to long term normal interest rates anytime soon.

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AUD/USD Intraday: caution.

Pivot: 0.7505

Our preference: short positions below 0.7505 with targets @ 0.7445 & 0.7417 in extension.

Alternative scenario: above 0.7505 look for further upside with 0.7540 & 0.7565 as targets.

Comment: the RSI shows downside momentum.

Supports and resistances:
0.7565 ***
0.7540 ***
0.7505 ***
0.7479 Last
0.7445 ***
0.7417 ***
0.7405 **

Ticker : AUD
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