Daily Outlook

September 6, 2016

AUD/USD is quietly waiting for a catalyst for its next move with the commodity currency currently sitting right in the middle of its recent 0.7700-7500 range at 0.7600 in early Asian trade.

 

Traders hoping for inspiration from the RBA at 2:30pm AEST time are likely to be disappointed with the RBA almost guaranteed to remain on hold after reluctantly cutting last month.

 

The Australian central bank is like to take a wait and see approach with the possibility of a US FED rate hike possible in coming months able to do the work of lowering the AUD/USD rate. If the FED doesn’t cut and we find ourselves closer to 0.8000 come November and the Q3 AUS CPI data remains under the RBA target band of 2-3% Y/y then the RBA may cut 1 final time in 2016.

 

In other news overnight some disappointment from the official Russia/Saudi Oil agreement that failed to fully implement a production freeze has seen some profit taking on the OIL/USD from $47 to $45.50.

GBP/USD 9/6/2016 12:43 AM 
Trend daily chart (=)  Trend weekly chart (=)
GBP/USD Intraday: bullish bias above 1.3250.
Pivot: 1.3250

Our preference: long positions above 1.3250 with targets @ 1.3375 & 1.3405 in extension.

Alternative scenario: below 1.3250 look for further downside with 1.3210 & 1.3155 as targets.

Comment: the RSI lacks downward momentum.

Supports and resistances:
1.3445 **
1.3405 **
1.3375 ***
1.3300 Last
1.3250 ***
1.3210 **
1.3155 ***

Ticker : GBP  Add to my portfolio
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