Daily outlook – 13th September 2011 (00:30GMT)

September 13, 2011

Currency Updates:

U.S. Dollar Trading (US) the stock market plunged lower again continuing on from Friday&amp rsquo s fall with concern that Greece was about to default. The market recovered sharply from lows into the close though on news China was looking to invest in Italian debt. Expectations of further unconventional Fed monetary easing is growing in consensus. In US stocks, DJIA +68 points closing at 11061, S&amp P +8 points closing at 1162 and NASDAQ +27 points closing at 2495. Looking ahead, August Export Prices forecast at 0 vs. -0.4%. Import prices are forecast at -0.8% vs. 0.3% previously.

The Euro (EUR) the EUR/USD plunged going into Europe hitting 1.3500 before reversing and grinding higher for the rest of the day. The Chinese Italian bond news helped support into the close and the pair finished near highs at 1.3680. Italian July Industrial Production fell to -0.7% vs. 0.2% forecast m/m. Looking ahead, Traders will continue to focus on European Debt yields in Greece and Italy.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) USD/JPY dipped below Y77 on the weakness in the crosses with EUR/JPY and AUD/JPY dropping through key levels. The dip below proved short-lived however with the market grinding higher for the rest of the day and the major finishing above the key Y77 level. &nbsp

The Sterling (GBP) was supported under 1.5800 and closed at opening levels near 1.5850 with most of the action left to the crosses. EUR/GBP slumped to multi month lows under 0.8550 before reversing sharply with the EUR/USD bounce to 0.8630. The outlook is closely linked to the stock market and if the ECB can contain the debt crisis.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) the risk currency was under heavy selling pressure for most of the day with AUD/JPY break Y80 and AUD/USD falling below 1.0300. The market bounced into the US close with the sharp reversal of the US stocks but was far from convincing. Looking ahead, August Business Confidence previously at 2.

Oil &amp Gold (XAU) Gold was weak even at the height of the Eurozone risk aversion with USD strength trumping the safe haven demand. Crude Oil bounced to $89 in a strong performance given the risk aversion and shows underlining investor support.

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