Daily outlook – 17th January 2011 (00:30GMT)

January 17, 2011

Currency Updates:

U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) mixed US data and a Reserve Ratio Hike from China kept traders on their toes Friday. Stocks were strong although the USD found support after fresh week lows, bouncing back into the US close. December Retail Sales at 0.6% vs. 0.8% forecast. January Consumer Confidence fell to 72.7 vs. 74.5 previously. In US stocks, DJIA +55 points closing at 11787, S&amp P +9 points closing at 1291 and NASDAQ +20 points closing at 2755. Looking ahead, Bank Holiday for Martin Luther King Day.

The Euro (EUR) week highs above 1.3450 were seen in Europe but pared back in the US session due to profit taking. Sentiment is improving towards the single currency on the growing belief the ECB will do what is needed to support the Euro. EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3315 and a high of 1.3456 before closing at 1.3368.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) USD weakness pushed the major lower but support was found at Y82.40 and the pair rebounded to the familiar Y83 level. AUD/JPY fell on the China news but the EUR/JPY remained strong. Overall the USDJPY traded with a low of 82.41 and a high of 83.07 before closing the day around 82.95 in the New York session.

The Sterling (GBP) was extremely contained tracking the Euro and remaining strong above 1.5800. EUR/GBP is above 0.8400 after finding solid support at 0.8300 last week. Overall the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5816 and a high of 1.5888 before closing the day at 1.5862 in the New York session.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) was the most affected by the Chinese bank reserve hike on Friday with the pair slipping sharply over a cent below 0.9900 and crosses continued to be unwound. EUR/AUD was the biggest mover last week up nearly 4% higher. Overall the AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.9857 and a high of 0.9993 before closing the US session at 0.9888.

Oil &amp Gold (XAU) Gold took another leg lower falling briefly below $1360. Overall trading with a low of USD$1355 and high of USD $1378 before ending the New York session at USD$1362 an ounce. Oil pulled back testing $90 a barrel before recovering and finishing strong. WTI Oil Closed +$0.40 at $91.54 a barrel.

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