Daily Outlook

September 16, 2016

AUD/USD remains on the back foot with the August employment report dipping into the negative -3.9k for the first time since February. The Unemployment Rate ticked lower to 5.6% vs 5.7% and this allowed the AUD/USD to bounce after the initial drop to 0.7450.

 

The internals of the numbers were positive with +11k fulltime jobs and -15k part time jobs. This reverses some of the fulltime jobs losses seen in July and also helped the AUD/USD not fall sharply on the headline numbers.

 

The negativity towards high yielding currencies as the bond market selloff continues is likely to further pressure the AUD and NZD against most pairs in the coming days.

 

OIL/USD fell further to $44 after the weekly US crude Oil inventories showed a large build in distillate’s and only small draw in Oil inventories.

 

AUD/USD 9/16/2016 12:49 AM 
Trend daily chart (=)  Trend weekly chart (=)
AUD/USD Intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 0.7470

Our preference: long positions above 0.7470 with targets @ 0.7540 & 0.7570 in extension.

Alternative scenario: below 0.7470 look for further downside with 0.7440 & 0.7400 as targets.

Comment: the RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.

Supports and resistances:
0.7600 ***
0.7570 ***
0.7540 ***
0.7515 Last
0.7470 ***
0.7440 ***
0.7400 ***

Ticker : AUD  Add to my portfolio
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