Daily outlook – 26th NOVEMBER 2010 (00:30GMT)

November 26, 2010

Currency Updates:

U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) stocks around the world rebounded from heavy selling with some good economic data trumping the negative Irish/Korean news. Weekly Jobless Claims dropped to two year lows at 407k and UoM consumer sentiment jumped to 71.6 vs. 69.3 previously. In US stocks, DJIA +150 points closing at 11187, S&amp P +17 points closing at 1198 and NASDAQ +48 points closing at 2543. Looking ahead, Bank Holiday for Thanks Giving.

The Euro (EUR) struggled even as stocks rallied with investors preferring other currencies while the debt situation lingers. German IFO did provide some good news up to 109.3 vs. 107.6 forecast. In other news a widely expected downgrade of Ireland of two notches had little effect. EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3283 and a high of 1.3423 before closing at 1.3330.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) was well supported on USD strength and good US jobs data to end near the top of its recent range. Crosses were strong with AUD/JPY leading the pack higher. Overall the USDJPY traded with a low of 82.93 and a high of 83.69 before closing the day around 83.55 in the New York session. Looking ahead, October Trade balance is forecast at 0.63T vs. 0.59T previously.

The Sterling (GBP) Q3 GDP was confirmed at 0.8% Q/Q but the GDP was linked with the Euro in underperforming risk assets. The market was stable though and new lows were limited by the US stock market rally. Overall the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5757 and a high of 1.5957 before closing the day at 1.5780 in the New York session. Looking ahead, UK Inflation Hearing and BoE Governor King Speaks.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) was very well supported off lows in Asia and shrugged off another attempt lower in European session before staging a rally in the US session. The market is caught between ongoing China tightening/European Concerns and general investor optimism creating demand for the high yielding Australian Dollar. Overall the AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.9737 and a high of 0.9855 before closing the US session at 0.9820. Looking ahead, Q3 Capex forecast at 3% vs. -4% Q/Q.

Oil &amp Gold (XAU) consolidated Tuesday&rsquo s move higher finding support on a dip below $1370. Overall trading with a low of USD$1368 and high of USD $1382 before ending the New York session at USD$1373 an ounce. Oil Surged overnight in a major move higher. WTI Oil Closed +$2.78 at $84.03 a barrel.

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