EU Session Bullet Report – Markets slow, anticipation over next weeks Fed announcement

September 11, 2015

US stocks closed slightly higher yesterday as global markets continue to swing on a seemingly daily basis. Next weeks widely anticipated Fed rate decision seems to have prevented any clear direction, as investors wait for further guidance.

In Asia this morning, markets are mixed although the AUDUSD continued its fightback and is now testing its resistance of 0.7065

Gold rebounded slightly yesterday and is now trading around the 1111 mark, although demand remains low.

Oil also remains under pressure, and is currently trading at $45.70 at time of writing. Goldman Sachs cut its price forecast, stating that they see potential for the black gold to slip to $20 per barrel.

News wise, not much going on in the eurozone today but later this afternoon, we have Producer Price Index and Consumer Confidence from the US.

Trading quote of the day: “The most important organ in the body as far as the stock market is concerned is the guts, not the head. Anyone can acquire the know-how for analyzing stocks.” – Peter Lynch

Currency Updates:

EURUSD

Pivot: 1.1235

Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.1235 with targets @ 1.132 & 1.135 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.1235 look for further downside with 1.121 & 1.117 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is well directed.


 

USDJPY 

Pivot: 120.4

Likely scenario: Long positions above 120.4 with targets @ 121.3 & 121.75 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 120.4 look for further downside with 119.9 & 119.6 as targets.

Comment: The RSI has just landed on its neutrality area at 50% and is turning up.

GBPUSD

Pivot: 1.539

Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.539 with targets @ 1.5475 & 1.551 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.539 look for further downside with 1.5335 & 1.529 as targets.

Comment: Technically the RSI is above its neutrality area at 50.

AUDUSD

Pivot: 0.704

Likely scenario: Long positions above 0.704 with targets @ 0.71 & 0.7125 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.704 look for further downside with 0.7 & 0.697 as targets.

Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

GOLD

Pivot: 1116

Likely scenario: Short positions below 1116 with targets @ 1101 & 1094 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1116 look for further upside with 1126 & 1130.7 as targets.

Comment: As long as 1116 is resistance, likely decline to 1101.

USDCAD

Pivot: 1.3175

Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.3175 with targets @ 1.3265 & 1.331 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.3175 look for further downside with 1.315 & 1.3115 as targets.

Comment: The RSI lacks downward momentum.

USDCHF

Pivot: 0.9785

Likely scenario: Short positions below 0.9785 with targets @ 0.9695 & 0.967 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 0.9785 look for further upside with 0.9825 & 0.9855 as targets.

Comment: Even though a continuation of the technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

OIL

Pivot: 43.4

Likely scenario: Long positions above 43.4 with targets @ 46.4 & 47.25 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 43.4 look for further downside with 41.75 & 40.5 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish.

DAX
Pivot: 10120
Likely scenario: Long positions above 10120 with targets @ 10525 & 10650 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 10120 look for further downside with 9881 & 9700 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is around its neutrality area at 50%
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