Euro loses ground as Italy may seek new election

March 5, 2013

What Happened on [Day] > Top 3?

Outlook

Data & Event Risk Today?

USDX:

USD JPY:

EUR USD:

GBP USD:

AUD USD:

NZD USD:

USD CAD:

VIX:

GOLD:

OIL (WTI):

BITCOIN (BTC):

Macro Themes in Play

Russell Sandiford / Dealer

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Currency Updates:

The euro (EUR) dropped below 1.3000, and is currently at 1.2995 versus the US dollar (USD) as European markets open. Investors are weary of political developments in Europe as Eurogroup members meet today. The Italian election and the hung parliament result means that Europe’s largest debtor country will be without government for some time. A new vote may be possible if a compromise is not found. In other news we expect Spanish unemployment to rise further in a country where unemployment has reached 26.6%. These developments may put further pressure on the euro as the European indebted periphery looks far from growth.

  • WTI Crude (OIL) dropped to 90.36, a two month low, as it consolidates earlier gains and moves into completing a two year pennant formation.
  • The US 500 (SPI), which tracks the top 500 US corporations, dropped to 1507, after touching 1518, in an indication that the Bullish sentiment may continue in US stocks.
  • Weekly option volatilities for the EURUSD rose slightly from 10.80 to 11.15 as investors’ fear returns and option premiums rise.

Stay in tune throughout the day with foreign exchange bullets!

 

Movers & Shakers

AUDUSD

The Australian dollar (AUD) slid versus the US dollar (USD) and is currently trading at 1.0125. The move comes after worse than expected economic data coming out of China, Australia’s main trading partner and importer of metals and energies.

Outlook

EURUSD Pivot Point 1.3050 with a preference to go SHORT at 1.3050.

Sentiment is 52% of deals to buy EUR

USDJPY Pivot Point 92.70 with a preference to go LONG at 92.70.

Sentiment is 41% of deals to buy EUR

GBPUSD Pivot Point 1.5090 with a preference to go SHORT at 1.5090.

Sentiment is 66% of deals to buy GBP

AUDUSD Pivot Point 1.0185 with a preference to go SHORT at 1.0185.

Sentiment is 74% of deals to buy AUD

GOLD Pivot Point 1565 with a preference to go LONG at 1565.

Sentiment is 64% of deals to buy GOLD

OIL Pivot Point 91.40 with a preference to go SHORT at 91.40.

Sentiment is 72% of deals to buy OIL

US 500 Pivot Point 1497 with a preference to go Long at 1497.

Sentiment is 21% to buy US 500

UK 100 Pivot Point 6275 with a preference to go Long at 6275.

Sentiment is 23% to buy UK 100

Calendar

EUR – Spanish Unemployment Change at 08:00(GMT) Forecast 77.5k

GBP – Construction PMI at 09:30(GMT) Forecast 49.2

EUR – Producers Price Index at 10:00(GMT) Forecast 0.5%

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