Morning Dealing Room Technical Report

July 17, 2015

Friday 17th July 2015

Market Comment

Australia

The S&P/ASX 200 index increased 0.59% or 33.382pts to 5669.61 (day range: 5691.2 – 5643.9) on Thursday. The index is above its 20d MA (@ 5557) and above its 50d MA (@ 5600). 64% of the index constituents are above their 20D MA (vs 60% the previous session) and 45% of the shares are above their 50D MA (vs 43%).

Foreign Exchange
The US dollar was higher against its U.S. counterparts on Thursday. On the economic data front, US initial jobless claims lowered to 281K for the week ending July 11 from a revised 296K in the week prior. (285K estimate). Continuing claims dropped to 2215K for the week ending July 4 from 2327K in the previous week (2300K estimate).

The euro was under pressure against its major pairs. In Europe, The ECB kept its main benchmark interest rate at 0.05%, as expected. Separately, euro zone consumer prices were flat in June, as anticipated, after a 0.2% increase in May. In other news, EU27 new car registrations jumped 14.6% in June after a 1.3% rise the month before.

The Australian dollar was stronger against its major Pairs.

Last %1D %YTD
EUR/USD 1,0879 -0.65 -10.08
GBP/USD 1,5611 -0.18 0.22
USD/JPY 124,12 0.26 3.70
EUR/CHF 1,0417 -0.05 -13.30
EUR/JPY 135,0300 -0.37 -6.67
EUR/GBP 0,6969 -0.43 -10.27
AUD/NZD 1,1369 1.55 8.48
AUD/JPY 91,9050 0.60 -5.99
EUR/AUD 1,4691 -1.00 -0.79
USD/CAD 1,2966 0.39 11.56
USD/CHF 0,9575 0.58 -3.71
AUD/USD 0,7405 0.35 -9.42
NZD/USD 0,6513 -1.17 -16.47

Currency Updates:

Medium Term Strategy: Forex Pair of the day

GBP/JPY – rebound

The pair has strongly rebounded above the support at 185 and remains on the upside. Further advance is likely as the moving averages and the daily RSI remain well directed. Next targets are set at 196.70 at first (horizontal resistance and Fibonacci projection of the previous up move) and at 201.60 in extension (same Fibonacci projection). A third target is set at 209 (horizontal resistance). Only a break below the horizontal support and overlap at 185 would turn the outlook to bearish with a first alternative target set at 179.40 (horizontal support) and a second one set at the horizontal support at 175.

17-7-15 - gbp

 

Intraday Technical Strategy

AUD/USD Intraday: rebound.

17-7-15 - aud

Pivot 0.7350
Our preference Long positions above 0.735 with targets @ 0.747 & 0.7495 in extension.
Alternative scenario Below 0.735 look for further downside with 0.733 & 0.73 as targets.
Comment The RSI is well directed.
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