Morning Dealing Room Technical Report

July 23, 2015

Thursday 23rd July 2015

Market Comment

Australia

The S&P/ASX 200 index dropped 1.61% or 92.146pts to 5614.57 (day range: 5696.8 – 5614) on Wednesday. The index is above its 20d MA (@ 5562) and above its 50d MA (@ 5602). 61% of the index constituents are above their 20D MA (vs 73% the previous session) and 45% of the shares are above their 50D MA (vs 51%).

Australia: The Westpac Leading Economic Index edged up to 97.96 in June from 97.94 in May.

Australia’s CPI rose 1.5% YoY in 2Q vs +1.3% in 1Q, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics

Foreign Exchange
The US dollar was higher against its U.S. counterparts on Wednesday. On the economic data front, MBA mortgage applications rose 0.1% last week after declining -1.9% in the week prior. Existing home sales climb to an 8 year high reporting 5.29M in June compared to 5.35 in May above the 5.4M estimate.

The Euro was mixed against its major pairs. In Europe, French business confidence index climbed to 99 in July from 98 in June.

The Australian dollar was under pressure against its major Pairs.

Last %1D %YTD
EUR/USD 1,0918 -0.16 -9.75
GBP/USD 1,5607 0.32 0.19
USD/JPY 124,01 0.09 3.61
EUR/CHF 1,0487 0.04 -12.71
EUR/JPY 135,3900 -0.09 -6.41
EUR/GBP 0,6995 -0.52 -9.93
AUD/NZD 1,1201 0.00 6.88
AUD/JPY 91,4450 -0.50 -6.46
EUR/AUD 1,4806 0.43 -0.01
USD/CAD 1,3034 0.68 12.16
USD/CHF 0,9605 0.21 -3.40
AUD/USD 0,7374 -0.61 -9.80
NZD/USD 0,6582 -0.65 -15.58

 

Currency Updates:

 

Medium Term Strategy: Forex Pair of the day

GBP/USD – rebound

The pair has rebounded above the strong support at 1.5170. Thus, as long as 1.5170 holds on the downside (horizontal support and overlap), further advance is likely with 1.5935 as a first target (June top) and 1.6190 in extension (61.8% retracement of the July 2014 to April down leg). A third target is set at 1.6525 (last September top). Only a break below 1.5170 would turn the outlook to bearish with a first alternative target set at 1.4560 (horizontal support and April low) and a second one set at 1.4230 (May 2010 low).

gbp

 

Intraday Technical Strategy

AUD/USD Intraday: under pressure.

aud

Pivot 0.7430
Our preference Short positions below 0.743 with targets @ 0.7345 & 0.7325 in extension.
Alternative scenario Above 0.743 look for further upside with 0.745 & 0.7475 as targets.
Comment The RSI is badly directed.
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