Morning Dealing Room Technical Report

November 18, 2015
Market Comment
Australia
The S&P/ASX 200 index surged 2.29% or 114.425pts to 5118.24 (day range: 5118.24 – 5003.8) on Tuesday. The index is below its 20d MA (@ 5205) and below its 50d MA (@ 5163). 40% of the index constituents are above their 20D MA (vs 21% the previous session) and 60% of the shares are above their 50D MA (vs 44%).

Australia: The ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Index fell 0.6% WoW to 115.9 in the week ended November 15.

Foreign Exchange
The US dollar was mixed against all of its major counterparts on Tuesday. On the economic data front, US CPI increased 0.2% MoM in Oct from a decline of 0.2% the month before. Industrial production decreased 0.2% in Oct, same as last month while economists were expecting a gain of 0.1%.

The Euro was under pressure against all of its major pairs except for the CHF. In Europe, German ZEW investor confidence index fell to 54.4 in November (55.2 expected) from 55.2 a month earlier. UK consumer prices rose 0.1% in October, as anticipated, after being down by 0.1% a month ago.

The Australian dollar pushed higher against all of its major pairs.

Last %1D %YTD
EUR/USD 1,0645 0.03 -12.01
GBP/USD 1,5213 0.00 -2.34
USD/JPY 123,41 -0.02 3.11
EUR/CHF 1,0798 0.00 -10.12
EUR/JPY 131,3700 -0.01 -9.19
EUR/GBP 0,6997 0.01 -9.91
AUD/NZD 1,0992 0.03 4.89
AUD/JPY 87,7900 0.02 -10.20
EUR/AUD 1,4964 0.00 1.05
USD/CAD 1,3319 -0.01 14.61
USD/CHF 1,0145 0.00 2.04
AUD/USD 0,7113 0.03 -12.99
NZD/USD 0,6471 0.00 -17.01

Currency Updates:

Medium Term Strategy: Forex Pair of the day
GBP/JPY – under pressure
The pair is posting a pull back but stands below the resistance at 191. Moreover, the daily RSI lacks upward momentum and is reversing down. Then, as long as 191 holds as a resistance, targets on the downside are set at 179.40 at first (horizontal support) and at 175 in extension. A third target is set at 169.50 (strong horizontal support). Only a rebound above the resistance at 191 would turn the outlook to bullish with a first alternative target set at 196 (June top) and a second one set at 201.60 (Fibonacci projection).
Intraday Technical Strategy
AUD/USD Intraday: rebound.
Pivot 0.7070
Our preference Long positions above 0.707 with targets @ 0.715 & 0.717 in extension.
Alternative scenario Below 0.707 look for further downside with 0.704 & 0.7015 as targets.
Comment The RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.

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